{"id":50402,"date":"2024-05-20T11:44:44","date_gmt":"2024-05-20T09:44:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/?post_type=analyse&#038;p=50402"},"modified":"2024-05-20T11:44:45","modified_gmt":"2024-05-20T09:44:45","slug":"dax-forecast-and-analysis-record-chase-continues","status":"publish","type":"analyse","link":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/analyse\/dax-prognose-und-analyse-rekordjagd-setzt-sich-fort\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX forecast and analysis: Record chase continues"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dear traders, dear stock market friends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The DAX ended the past trading week virtually unchanged. After a correction of around 5% or 940 points in April, the German benchmark index continued its upward trend in the first half of May and rose to a new all-time high. The fundamental environment and not least the developments in the USA still appear favorable for a continuation of the bull market in the medium to long term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a id=\"post-50402-_68msi0v4i2pf\"><\/a>Positive sentiment after US consumer prices<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As is so often the case, the DAX was also infected by the positive mood in the USA last week. The S&amp;P 500, the Dow Jones, the Nasdaq 100 and the Nasdaq Composite all rose to new all-time highs. The focus was particularly on the consumer prices published on Wednesday afternoon. After producer prices came in slightly higher than the market had expected on Tuesday, there were fears that consumer prices might also be hotter and signal ongoing inflationary pressure. However, with CPI at 3.4 % on a YOY basis, expectations were confirmed and the trend towards disinflation continued compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Further economic data signaled a moderate slowdown in the economy. The combination of declining inflation data and an economic slowdown gives the US Fed more leeway to cut interest rates from September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Developments in the US, and in particular the Fed's interest rate policy, also play an important role for the European financial markets and should be monitored closely. The DAX reached a new all-time high on Wednesday and rose to just under 18,900 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a id=\"post-50402-_5t2j34ucbw33\"><\/a>Upward trend opens up opportunities<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As you can see on the chart below, the DAX is in a \u201cclean\u201d upward trend, which was confirmed by the new all-time high. The moving averages also confirm the trend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2048\" height=\"1362\" src=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/word-image-50402-1.png\" alt=\"DAX Index daily chart with moving averages and support zones\" class=\"wp-image-50403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/word-image-50402-1.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/word-image-50402-1-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/word-image-50402-1-1024x681.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/word-image-50402-1-768x511.png 768w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/word-image-50402-1-1536x1022.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/word-image-50402-1-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2048px) 100vw, 2048px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">DAX Index daily chart with moving averages and support zones<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Depending on the time horizon and trading strategy, there are different options for traders and investors. First of all, it has once again been proven that in an upward trend with such strong momentum, no attempt should be made to trade against the trend. In most cases, corrections are an opportunity to seek entries at more favorable prices and with a better risk\/reward ratio and should generally not be used to speculate on a reversal of the primary trend as long as there are no clear signs of this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The trend is currently once again in an advanced movement phase of the upward trend. If you want to jump on the trend now, you should always allow for a correction. It is better to be patient and look for entries in the area of a support zone. The first important support level is located at around 18,500 points, in the area of the local highs from the end of March and the beginning of April in conjunction with the daily EMA 20 (purple). The next support area is around 18,200 points. This is where the EMA 50 (green) runs, which has not been breached since the start of the rally in November; the horizontal support area and the trend line also offer support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition to directional long trades, selling put options near the above-mentioned support areas or a few points below them is a good way to generate a premium income. Depending on the strategy, it may make sense to hedge sold puts (short puts) by buying a corresponding number of puts with a lower strike price in order to reduce the risk (bull put spreads).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Author <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fomo-finance.com\/about\/tobias-schmid\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tobias Schmid<\/a> <br>Datum: 20.05.2024<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Liebe Trader, liebe B\u00f6rsenfreunde. Der DAX beendete die vergangene Handelswoche nahezu unver\u00e4ndert. Nach einer Korrektur von rund f\u00fcnf Prozent bzw. von 940 Punkten im April setzte der deutsche Leitindex in der ersten H\u00e4lfte des Mai den Aufw\u00e4rtstrend fort und stieg auf ein neues Allzeithoch an. Das fundamentale Umfeld und nicht zuletzt die Entwicklungen in den [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":50403,"template":"","analysen-kategorie":[856,849],"class_list":["post-50402","analyse","type-analyse","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","analysen-kategorie-dax","analysen-kategorie-index"],"acf":{"blog_summary":"","blog_faq_schalter":"nein","faq_uberschrift":"","blog_faq_loop":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/analyse\/50402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/analyse"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/analyse"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50403"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"analysen-kategorie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/analysen-kategorie?post=50402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}