{"id":64314,"date":"2025-11-17T07:50:14","date_gmt":"2025-11-17T06:50:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/?post_type=analyse&p=64314"},"modified":"2025-11-17T07:50:16","modified_gmt":"2025-11-17T06:50:16","slug":"nasdaq-100-defends-25000-point-mark","status":"publish","type":"analyse","link":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/analyse\/nasdaq-100-verteidigt-25-000-punkte-marke\/","title":{"rendered":"Nasdaq 100 defends 25,000 point mark"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dear traders, dear stock market friends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Nasdaq 100 ended the past trading week with a loss of 0.2 %, closing only slightly down on the previous week. Over the course of the week, however, the technology index came under significant downward pressure at times before a clear countermovement set in on Friday evening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors in fear mode<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Market sentiment is currently characterized by extreme caution. CNN's \"Fear & Greed Index\" has fallen into the \"extreme fear\" zone, with a value of 22 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A
CNN Fear and Greed Index<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

This indicates widespread concern among investors and signals that the market may be oversold. Historically, such phases of exaggerated negative sentiment can often be harbingers of a short-term market recovery. At the same time, bullish sentiment among US investors has also fallen over the past week and is now below the long-term average, underlining the general risk aversion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AI sector briefly under pressure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The reason for the negative sentiment was a resurgence of concerns about the very high valuations of AI shares, which weighed on the entire technology sector. Leading companies such as Nvidia experienced a correction from their all-time highs, but were still only slightly down on the week or even managed to turn positive, which illustrates the \u201cbuy the dip mentality\u201d that still exists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, there were signs of sector shifts, with some investors moving from growth stocks to qualitatively more stable stocks such as the healthcare and energy sectors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The focus in the new week is now very much on Nvidia's upcoming quarterly figures, which will be published on Wednesday (November 19, 2025) after the US stock market closes. Expectations are high and the figures and outlook from the chip giant could have a significant impact on sentiment in the entire AI sector and either provide new bullish impetus or further selling pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Interest rate cut in December questionable<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

However, hopes of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in December have cooled considerably in recent days. According to the CME Group's Fed Fund futures, the priced-in probability of a further rate cut has fallen to around 50 %, down from around 95 % in the previous month. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

An interest rate cut would generally provide a tailwind for high-growth technology and AI stocks in the Nasdaq 100, as lower financing costs and a falling discount rate would make the future cash flows of these companies more attractive. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Accordingly, the markets are currently reacting sensitively to new US economic data and statements by Fed representatives that could provide clues as to the future course of interest rate and inflation policy. This uncertainty about the path of monetary policy has contributed significantly to the increased volatility in the Nasdaq 100 over the past two weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nasdaq 100 defends EMA 50 & lower Bollinger band<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

With all the short-term \u201cfear news\u201d, one thing should not be forgotten: The Nasdaq 100 as well as the entire US stock market are still in a clear bull market. Short-term corrections are completely normal and healthy for the trend, and initially no reason for uncertainty. On the contrary, they create new opportunities for traders who want to \u201cplay\u201d the long-term uptrend. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Nasdaq 100 Index not only closed above the psychologically important and round 25,000-point mark on Friday, but was also able to defend the daily EMA 50 as well as the lower Bollinger band. Neither has been breached since the start of the rally in April and have established themselves as important support zones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Line
Nasdaq 100 Index daily chart with Bollinger Bands and EMA 50<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The fact that the Nasdaq 100 has once again defended this support zone is a very promising signal in chart terms and increases the probability of a continuation of the trend to the upside. At least as long as the support is not breached in a bearish direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reversal signals in the Nasdaq 100 Future<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Before the markets opened and during the first few hours of trading last Friday, downward momentum still dominated. This can be seen particularly well when looking at the Nasdaq 100 Future (which trades almost around the clock). (This trades almost around the clock.) The daily candle has a long fuse on the downside. This means that during the day the bears initially dominated the action before a strong countermovement set in. The fact that this candlestick reversal signal was formed under significantly increased volume underpins the relevance of the signal and could be an indication for follow-up buying at the beginning of the new week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A
Nasdaq 100 Future daily chart<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Author: Tobias Schmid
<\/a>Date: 17.11.2025<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Liebe Trader, liebe B\u00f6rsenfreunde. Der Nasdaq 100 beendete die vergangene Handelswoche mit einem Verlust von 0,2 % und schloss damit im Vergleich zur Vorwoche nur minimal im Minus. Im Wochenverlauf geriet der Technologieindex zeitweise jedoch deutlich unter Abgabedruck, bevor am Freitagabend eine deutliche Gegenbewegung einsetzte. Investoren im Angst-Modus Die Marktstimmung ist aktuell von extremer Vorsicht […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":64318,"template":"","analysen-kategorie":[849,858],"class_list":["post-64314","analyse","type-analyse","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","analysen-kategorie-index","analysen-kategorie-nasdaq-100"],"acf":{"blog_summary":"","blog_faq_schalter":"nein","faq_uberschrift":"","blog_faq_loop":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/analyse\/64314","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/analyse"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/analyse"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/64318"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64314"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"analysen-kategorie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/analysen-kategorie?post=64314"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}