{"id":64721,"date":"2025-12-15T14:24:52","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T13:24:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/?post_type=boersen-ausblicke&#038;p=64721"},"modified":"2025-12-15T14:24:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T13:24:53","slug":"us-weekly-outlook-non-farm-payrolls-and-us-inflation-data-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"boersen-ausblicke","link":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/boersen-ausblicke\/us-wochenausblick-non-farm-payrolls-und-us-inflationsdaten-im-fokus\/","title":{"rendered":"US weekly outlook: \u201eNon-Farm Payrolls\u201c and US inflation data in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Following last Wednesday's Fed meeting, important US economic data will be on the agenda in the last full trading week before Christmas 2025. In addition to the official US labor market data, the inflation figures for the US in particular are likely to be eagerly awaited. Attention should also be paid to geopolitical developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict: \u201eA lot of progress\u201c according to Steve Witkoff<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>On Sunday evening, the US side made a positive statement following talks with the Ukrainian side in the Chancellery. Special envoy Steve Witkoff, who is leading the US delegation, said that \u201emuch progress\u201c had been made. The parties involved are still struggling to end the conflict.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>After the Fed meeting: investors should hope for further interest rate cuts <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Hopes of a further fall in key interest rates in the United States were dampened last week despite a quarter of a percentage point move by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Powell signaled a pause in the rate cut, citing the need for clear signals from the jobs market and \u201esomewhat elevated\u201c inflation. \u201eMonetary policy is not set on a particular course, and we will make our decisions on a meeting-by-meeting basis,\u201c he said.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>US labor market data for October and November expected on Tuesday<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The focus on Tuesday will be on the so-called \u201eNon-Farm Payrolls\u201c for the months of October and November (2:30 pm).<br \/>\nThe unemployment rate should also be taken into account. Due to the US government shutdown, the Fed has recently had to rely on job data from private institutions and its own estimates. The new US economic data could shed some light on the situation and may be weighed in the balance in this context.<\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday afternoon (15:45), S&amp;P Global purchasing managers for the manufacturing and services sectors will also be on the agenda.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Retail sales and inflation data for the United States could provide important impetus<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>US retail sales are expected on Wednesday (14:30).<\/p>\n<p>Thursday is likely to be dominated by the publication of US inflation data (14:30). In addition to consumer prices, including the drivers energy and food, the so-called core rate is expected, which excludes the aforementioned values.<\/p>\n<p>The key interest rate decision by the European Central Bank (ECB), which is scheduled for 14:15, could also attract interest. The subsequent press conference with Christine Lagarde is scheduled for 14:45. It remains to be seen whether the European colleagues will lower interest rates. The so-called deposit rate currently stands at 2.0 percent.<\/p>\n<p>The final consumer sentiment data (Uni Michigan) will round off the trading week on Friday (16:00).<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Index<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1774\" height=\"1200\" class=\"wp-image-64722\" src=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ein-bild-das-text-screenshot-diagramm-reihe-en-3.png\" alt=\"An image containing text, screenshot, diagram, series, etc. AI-generated content may contain errors.\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ein-bild-das-text-screenshot-diagramm-reihe-en-3.png 1774w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ein-bild-das-text-screenshot-diagramm-reihe-en-3-300x203.png 300w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ein-bild-das-text-screenshot-diagramm-reihe-en-3-1024x693.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ein-bild-das-text-screenshot-diagramm-reihe-en-3-768x520.png 768w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ein-bild-das-text-screenshot-diagramm-reihe-en-3-1536x1039.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ein-bild-das-text-screenshot-diagramm-reihe-en-3-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1774px) 100vw, 1774px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Following last Wednesday's Fed meeting, important US economic data will be on the agenda in the last full trading week before Christmas 2025. In addition to the official US labor market data, the inflation figures for the US in particular are likely to be eagerly awaited. Attention should also be paid to geopolitical developments in the Ukraine-Russia conflict.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":47553,"template":"","borsenausblick-kategorie":[854],"class_list":["post-64721","boersen-ausblicke","type-boersen-ausblicke","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","borsenausblick-kategorie-us-boersenausblick"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/boersen-ausblicke\/64721","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/boersen-ausblicke"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/boersen-ausblicke"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47553"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=64721"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"borsenausblick-kategorie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/borsenausblick-kategorie?post=64721"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}