{"id":65140,"date":"2026-01-12T15:52:19","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T14:52:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/?post_type=boersen-ausblicke&#038;p=65140"},"modified":"2026-01-12T15:52:21","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T14:52:21","slug":"us-weekly-outlook-geopolitical-risks-in-focus-us-inflation-data-ahead","status":"publish","type":"boersen-ausblicke","link":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/boersen-ausblicke\/us-wochenausblick-geopolitische-risiken-im-fokus-us-inflationsdaten-voraus\/","title":{"rendered":"US weekly outlook: Geopolitical risks in focus - US inflation data ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In the new trading week, investors are likely to pay particular attention to the publication of new US inflation data. The geopolitical uncertainties in Iran and Cuba should also be kept in mind. The start of the reporting season, which is traditionally heralded by the major US banks, could also provide important impetus.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Trump threatens Cuba - Geopolitical uncertainties are likely to continue to accompany investors<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Following the US attack on Venezuela and the capture of Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, US President Donald Trump has now threatened the Cuban government that it will no longer receive oil from Venezuela if it does not agree to a deal. He called for \u201ea deal to be struck before it is too late\u201c. However, it remained unclear what an agreement would consist of. It also remained unclear what would happen if Cuba did not agree to a deal.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Further potential for escalation in Iran <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Investors are also likely to turn their attention to Iran again and again. According to Donald Trump, the USA is considering \u201every strong options\u201c for intervention against the regime in Iran. \u201eThe military is looking into it,\u201c Trump said on Sunday evening. Last Saturday, \u201ethe leaders of Iran\u201c called and said: \u201ethey want to negotiate\u201c.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>US inflation data could send monetary policy impulses on Tuesday<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>On Tuesday afternoon (14:30), investors can look forward to consumer prices including the drivers energy and food for the month of December. Attention should also be paid to the core inflation rate, which excludes the drivers energy and food. This rate is used by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in particular to assess inflation.<\/p>\n<p>However, following the latest jobs report last Friday, the speculation of interest rate cuts for the upcoming January meeting has dimmed. According to the CME Group's \"Fed Watch Tool\", the majority of investors now expect a pause in interest rates (95%).<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Further price data at a glance on Wednesday <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Consequently, US producer prices and retail sales will be on the agenda on Wednesday (2:30 pm). This data could also provide important clues for monetary policy.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>US reporting season traditionally starts with big banks <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>JP Morgan (ISIN: US46625H1005) and Bank of New York Mellon (ISIN: US0640581007) are expected to report their figures for the past quarter on Tuesday. On Wednesday, Bank of America (ISIN: US0605051046), Wells Fargo (ISIN: US9497461015) and City Group (ISIN: US1729674242) will report. On Thursday, figures are expected from Morgan Stanley (US6174464486), Goldman Sachs (ISIN: US38141G1040) and asset manager BlackRock.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Index<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1494\" height=\"1274\" class=\"wp-image-65141\" src=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/word-image-65140-1.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/word-image-65140-1.png 1494w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/word-image-65140-1-300x256.png 300w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/word-image-65140-1-1024x873.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/word-image-65140-1-768x655.png 768w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/word-image-65140-1-14x12.png 14w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1494px) 100vw, 1494px\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the new trading week, investors are likely to pay particular attention to the publication of new US inflation data. The geopolitical uncertainties in Iran and Cuba should also be kept in mind. The start of the reporting season, which is traditionally heralded by the major US banks, could also provide important impetus.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":47553,"template":"","borsenausblick-kategorie":[854],"class_list":["post-65140","boersen-ausblicke","type-boersen-ausblicke","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","borsenausblick-kategorie-us-boersenausblick"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/boersen-ausblicke\/65140","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/boersen-ausblicke"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/boersen-ausblicke"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47553"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=65140"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"borsenausblick-kategorie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/borsenausblick-kategorie?post=65140"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}