{"id":69471,"date":"2026-10-05T11:48:25","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T09:48:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/?post_type=research&p=69471"},"modified":"2026-10-05T17:23:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T15:23:17","slug":"us-week-ahead-outlook-fed-publications-likely-to-remain-a-topic","status":"publish","type":"research","link":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/research\/us-wochenausblick-fed-mitschriften-voraus-geldpolitik-duerfte-thema-bleiben\/","title":{"rendered":"US week ahead outlook: Fed notes ahead \u2013 monetary policy is expected to remain a topic"},"content":{"rendered":"

Following the publication of the latest US labor market data last Friday, investors are looking ahead to the Fed\u2019s minutes from the last US central bank meeting in the middle of the week, which will be crucial for monetary policy guidance. In particular, the focus is likely to be on inflation and interest rate developments.<\/p>\n

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index<\/strong><\/h2>\n

<\/strong><\/p>\n

The US labor market is deteriorating dramatically \u2013 the unemployment rate rises to 4.2 percent<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The U.S. job market surprisingly weakened significantly in September. Excluding agriculture, the number of employees increased by only 29,000 in September, the U.S. government announced on Friday afternoon. Ahead of Reuters\u2019s questioning, economists had expected an increase of 90,000. The unemployment rate climbed by 0.1 percentage points to 4.2 percent in this context.
At the same time, the number of employees for July and August was revised downward as well. After 21,000 jobs in July, a decrease of 10,000 jobs was reported. For August, initially 162,000 jobs were communicated, then only 133,000.<\/p>\n\n\n

\"\"
Source: Own illustration \/ Trading Economics<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Accordingly, according to the \u201eFed-Watch Tool,\u201c 79.5 percent of market participants now expect a pause in interest rates on October 28, 2026, and 20.5 percent expect a rate hike totaling a quarter of a percentage point. A week ago, 29.1 percent still expected a pause in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fed notes could send monetary policy signals by mid-week \u2013 consumer sentiment data (University of Michigan) in focus<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Accordingly, investors are awaiting the \u201cFOMC Minutes\u201c late on Wednesday evening in a comparatively calm week in terms of the economic calendar, which could provide clues regarding US monetary policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The weekly initial applications for U.S. unemployment benefits will be worth watching on Thursday (14:30).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Friday, last but not least, preliminary consumer sentiment data from the University of Michigan could provide some momentum (16:00).<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

After the publication of new U.S. job data, investors are likely to focus in particular on the Fed\u2019s minutes in the new trading week.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":47553,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"research-kategorie":[4758],"class_list":["post-69471","research","type-research","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","research-kategorie-us-boersenausblick"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research\/69471","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/research"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47553"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69471"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"research-kategorie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research-kategorie?post=69471"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}