{"id":69895,"date":"2026-10-26T11:56:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T10:56:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/?post_type=research&#038;p=69895"},"modified":"2026-10-26T14:08:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T13:08:21","slug":"us-week-ahead-outlook-fed-key-figures-and-news-season-in-focus","status":"publish","type":"research","link":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/research\/us-wochenausblick-fed-ki-und-berichtssaison-im-fokus\/","title":{"rendered":"US week ahead outlook: Fed, AI and report season in focus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Investors continue to swing between geopolitical risks, monetary policy questions and fragile technological fantasies. Investors fear that the central bankers\u2019 guiding principles\u2014both across the Atlantic and within it\u2014are setting the tone.<br \/>\nInstead of a smooth record-breaking hunt, autumn blues characterized by uncertainty continues to dominate stock market activity.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Dow Jones Industrial Average Index<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1387\" height=\"906\" class=\"wp-image-69896\" src=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/word-image-69895-1.png\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/word-image-69895-1.png 1387w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/word-image-69895-1-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/word-image-69895-1-1024x669.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/word-image-69895-1-768x502.png 768w, https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/word-image-69895-1-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1387px) 100vw, 1387px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Focusing on economic data \u2013 Fed interest rate meeting could decide the fate of the stock market week<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>On Tuesday, the focus will initially be on incoming orders for durable goods (13:30).<\/p>\n<p>Wednesday is likely to be dominated by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting. Due to the time change here in Germany, the decision on the key interest rate will be announced at 19:00, and a half hour later the FOMC press conference with Kevin Warsh will take place. Investors are usually expected to look for clues regarding monetary policy from these speeches.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>\u201eFed Watch Tool\u201c signals high chance of a pause in interest rates \u2013 Increased probability of interest rate hike at December meeting<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>According to the CME Group\u2019s \u201eFed Watch Tool,\u201c 90.6 percent of market participants expect a pause in interest rates and 9.4 percent an increase in interest rates, totaling a quarter of a percentage point. The interest rate band itself currently stands at 3.75 to 4.00 percent.<\/p>\n<p>However, the outlook for the December meeting (09.12.2026) is significantly different. In this case, 74 percent of investors expect an appropriate interest rate increase of 25 basis points.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>US price data to be watched on Thursday \u2013 ECB to decide on key interest rate<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>On Thursday, at 13:30 already, a whole host of potential donors are on the agenda.<\/p>\n<p>The core rate for personal consumption expenditure and the GDP growth rate for the past quarter are expected.<\/p>\n<p>It will also be of interest to see how the colleagues of the European Central Bank decide on the future level of the key interest rate on Thursday (14:15). The press conference with President Christine Lagarde is expected to attract attention at 14:45.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>US reporting season continues<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>On Tuesday, the figures for the latest financial quarter from Boeing (ISIN: US0970231058), Coca-Cola (ISIN: US1912161007), Paypal (ISIN: US70450Y1038) and Visa (ISIN: US92826C8394) will come to the fore.<br \/>\nOn Wednesday, Alphabet C (ISIN: US02079K1079), Ford Motor (ISIN: US3a453708600) and Microsoft (ISIN: US5949181045) will report.<br \/>\nOn Thursday, the list of companies continues with Coinbase (ISIN: US19260Q1076) and MicroStrategy (ISIN: US5949724083).<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the new trading week, investors are likely to keep a close eye on the US Federal Reserve meeting.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":47553,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"research-kategorie":[4758],"class_list":["post-69895","research","type-research","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","research-kategorie-us-boersenausblick"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research\/69895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/research"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47553"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=69895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"research-kategorie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.captrader.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research-kategorie?post=69895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}