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Weekly Review: DAX and Wall Street – US Inflation and ECB Move Markets – All Eyes on SpaceX

The dynamic developments in the Iran conflict have increasingly occupied investors on both sides of the Atlantic in recent days. Markets seem to trust a possible peace between Washington and Tehran only when the ink is actually dry on a credible agreement. In addition to US inflation figures, the ECB's central bank meeting also provided food for thought.
Today's focus is also on the highly anticipated stock market launch of SpaceX. The IPO could become a litmus test for investor risk appetite and the multi-billion dollar AI growth narrative, thus serving as a litmus test for the markets' hunger for valuations. In the coming trading days, investors will likely have to show their colors, indicating whether they continue to give the AI-driven growth story the benefit of the doubt or whether the hour of fundamental testing has arrived.

DAX

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US inflation at 4.2 percent, highest level in three years

Investors' focus last Wednesday was primarily on US consumer prices, which, at 4.2 percent, were as high as expected (previously 3.8 percent), but represent the highest level in three years. In this context, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may soon be under pressure to raise interest rates to combat inflation.

The core inflation rate was 2.9 percent, also as high as expected (previously: 2.8 percent).

ECB raises deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent

Thursday, however, was entirely dominated by the ECB's monetary policy meeting. As expected, the European monetary authority raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, tightening the screw on borrowing costs. The deposit rate, which is significant for banks and savers, was raised by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent, as announced by the ECB Governing Council in Frankfurt am Main.
According to an initial estimate by the EU statistical office Eurostat, inflation in May was 3.2 percent, significantly above the medium-term target of 2.0 percent.

According to the latest data, US producer prices climbed by 1.1 percent (compared to the same month last year), significantly more than expected (0.7 percent), following a 1.1 percent increase previously. The background for the rise is the again increasing energy costs. In May, prices rose by 6.5 percent year-on-year, as announced by the Department of Labor in Washington. US producer prices are closely watched, not least with a view to the development of consumer prices.

From an economic calendar perspective, things could get interesting this afternoon with the consumer sentiment data (Uni Michigan) at 4:00 PM.

SpaceX's expected trading start casts a shadow

However, the focus today is on the planned stock market launch of the AI and space company SpaceX, which aims to raise up to $86 billion. The company is expected to debut with a valuation of $1.77 trillion, making it the seventh most valuable publicly traded company in the US. The shares are set to launch on the US technology exchange NASDAQ under the ticker „SPCX“ (ISIN: US84615Q1031).
Last year, SpaceX recorded a loss of approximately $4.94 billion on revenue of $18.67 billion.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

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Timo Emden

Timo Emden holds a B.A. in Business Administration, is a market analyst and a certified blockchain expert from the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management. He has been following the global financial markets for over 14 years, with a focus on crypto assets. His assessments are based on chart technology and sentiment - he nevertheless considers important fundamental events to be significant. As a market expert, Mr. Emden is a valued contact for TV, press and radio.

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