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DAX weekly outlook: ECB in focus - hopes for tariff deal with Trump

Im Fokus der Anleger steht in der laufenden Handelswoche insbesondere die für den Donnerstag mit Spannung erwartete EZB-Notenbanksitzung. Für Gesprächsstoff dürfte ein neuer Deal im Handelsstreit zwischen den USA und Japan sorgen, welcher in Frankfurt am Main Gehör finden sollte. Auch wenn es vereinzelt mit der Veröffentlichung interessanter Konjunkturdaten immer wieder wichtige Impulse geben könnte,…
Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden
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23.07.2025, 12:11 Uhr
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Last updated on Aug 28, 2026, 1:43 PM
A busy trading floor with people working at computer stations and large electronic stock exchange boards displaying data overhead, including the latest figures for the DAX weekly outlook.

In the current trading week, investors are focusing in particular on the eagerly awaited ECB central bank meeting on Thursday.
A new deal in the trade dispute between the US and Japan, which should be heard in Frankfurt am Main, is likely to provide a talking point. Even though the publication of interesting economic data could provide important impetus from time to time, the US reporting season is likely to be particularly exciting as it continues to gather pace.

DAX

Source: TradingView

Deal between the USA and Japan spurred on - a model for the EU?

Investors are hoping that the deal between the US and Japan could act as a blueprint for the eurozone. Whether a deal between the United States and the eurozone will be reached by August 1 is probably another matter. US President Donald Trump recently extended the deadline for a possible deal until the aforementioned date.

Purchasing managers on both sides of the Atlantic and ECB key interest rate decision on Thursday in view

The purchasing managers (HCOB) for the manufacturing industry, the service sector and the overall index are expected at 09:30. The counterparts for the eurozone will follow at 10:00.

The ECB's key interest rate decision is expected at 14:15. ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to address the public from 14:45. Investors are hoping for monetary policy stimuli in this context.
However, it remains to be seen whether the ECB will turn the interest rate screws down again, as it did in June. The deposit rate currently stands at 2.0 percent. In total, the ECB has cut interest rates four times since the beginning of the year.

In the afternoon (15:45), the purchasing managers (S&P Global) for the services and manufacturing sectors will round off the day.

ifo index and new orders for durable goods in the USA round off the trading week

Friday is likely to be dominated by the publication of the ifo Business Climate Index (10:00 a.m.).

In addition, new orders for durable goods in the US will be published (14:30). As these goods are generally associated with higher spending, they can provide important indications of activity in the US economy.

Excitement ahead of Alphabet and Tesla release - Intel in focus on Thursday

In the US reporting season, investors are looking today at the figures for the past quarter from Alphabet A (ISIN: US02079K3059) and Tesla (ISIN: US88160R1014). Intel (ISIN: US4581401001) will report on Thursday. In this context, investors should also be prepared for momentum in Germany.

Legal notice

This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an investment recommendation within the meaning of Section 85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG). Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Timo Emden

Chief market analyst
CapTrader
Timo Emden has been analyzing international capital markets for over ten years and provides daily commentary on developments in the equity, bond, and commodity markets for CapTrader.
All posts by Timo Emden

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