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Week in review DAX and Wall Street: oil price, Iran war and US Fed in focus

Rund zwei Wochen nach der militärischen Eskalation im Nahen Osten bleibt die Lage an den Aktienmärkten dies- und jenseits des Atlantiks angespannt. Die Märkte steuern derzeit wie in einem Nebel. Die Richtung ist unklar, die Risiken bleiben hoch. Die Furcht, dass jede weitere Eskalation den Ölpreis weiter nach oben treiben und die Rezessionsängste forcieren könnte,…
Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden
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13.03.2026, 17:28 Uhr
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Last updated on Aug 28, 2026, 1:43 PM

Around two weeks after the military escalation in the Middle East, the situation on the stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic remains tense. The markets are currently navigating as if in a fog. The direction is unclear, the risks remain high. The fear that any further escalation could push the oil price up further and fuel fears of recession remains present. Concerns about an economic slowdown continue to dominate share prices.
The upcoming meeting of the US Federal Reserve next week could also cast its shadow.

DAX

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German consumer prices for February fall below 2.0 percent

New data on German inflation was published on Wednesday. According to the Federal Statistical Office (DeStatis), inflation in February 2026 was 1.9%, compared to 2.1% in January (compared to the same month last year).
„The rise in consumer prices weakened slightly in February,“ said Ruth Brand (President of the Federal Statistical Office).
„Food inflation in particular has fallen significantly and had a dampening effect on prices, while services continued to increase the inflation rate."

US inflation remains at 2.4 percent - core inflation rate at 2.5 percent

There were no major surprises from US consumer prices, which were as high as expected at 2.4% and thus at the same level as the previous month (compared to February 2025). The core inflation rate rose by 2.5% in the same period, which was also unchanged.

Numerous US economic data expected today - US Federal Reserve meeting likely to cast its shadow ahead

Friday afternoon is consequently still full of potentially important US economic data. The core rate for personal consumption expenditures, the US GDP growth rate (second estimate) and new orders for durable goods (13:30) are expected.

The trading week is rounded off by the „JOLTs“ (Jop Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) and preliminary data on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan (15:00).

Next Wednesday, the US monetary authority will decide on the future key interest rate level. However, investors are not currently hoping for a rate cut. According to the CME Group's „Fed Watch Tool“, only 0.8% of market participants expect a rate cut of a quarter of a percentage point. Interest rates are currently between 3.50 and 3.75 percent.

Zalando share: use of AI provides tailwind

Online fashion retailer Zalando (ISIN: DE000ZAL1111), for example, presented its figures on Thursday.
In 2025, Group sales rose by almost 17% to 12.3 billion euros.
The increased use of artificial intelligence (AI) had given fashion retailer Zalando a boost.
„We can provide our customers and partners with offers that were unthinkable until recently,“ said Robert Gentz (Co-CEO of the Group). „At the same time, we are increasing the efficiency of our own processes“.

Zalando

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Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

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Oil price (West Texas Intermediate)

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Legal notice

This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an investment recommendation within the meaning of Section 85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG). Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Timo Emden

Chief market analyst
CapTrader
Timo Emden has been analyzing international capital markets for over ten years and provides daily commentary on developments in the equity, bond, and commodity markets for CapTrader.
All posts by Timo Emden

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