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US inflation at 3.4 percent in August

US inflation in August stood at 3.4 percent (compared to the same month last year), exactly as economists had anticipated, following 3.4 percent in July as well. The core inflation rate, which excludes the drivers energy and food, was also right on estimate at 2.4 percent (previously: 2.5 percent).
Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden
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September 11, 2026, 3:44 PM
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Last updated on September 14, 2026 at 08:17 AM

US inflation in August stood at 3.4 percent (compared to the same month last year), exactly as economists had anticipated, following 3.4 percent in July as well. The core inflation rate, which excludes the drivers energy and food, was also right on estimate at 2.4 percent (previously: 2.5 percent).

The still high price level is unlikely to have alleviated concerns about interest rate cuts at all. After all, the core inflation rate was 0.1 percentage points higher than expected (compared to the previous month).

At the Fed policy meeting on September 16, investors fear a potential rate hike by the US central bank of a quarter of a percentage point. The CME Group's „FedWatch Tool“ estimates the probability of said scenario at 83.4 percent.

 

Source: Own illustration Trading Economics

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This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an investment recommendation within the meaning of Section 85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG). Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Timo Emden

Chief market analyst
CapTrader
Timo Emden has been analyzing international capital markets for over ten years and provides daily commentary on developments in the equity, bond, and commodity markets for CapTrader.
All posts by Timo Emden

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