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DAX weekly outlook: All eyes on "Jackson Hole" - Jerome Powell in focus

A busy trading floor with people working at computer stations and large electronic stock exchange boards displaying data overhead, including the latest figures for the DAX weekly outlook.

Investors are likely to focus on the so-called "FOMC minutes" this Wednesday evening. At the same time, the eagerly awaited central bankers' meeting in Jackson Hole (Wyoming) should already be casting its first shadows. In particular, a speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell expected on Friday is likely to be in the spotlight.

DAX

Source: TradingView

After White House meeting - investors likely to wait for new details on possible meeting between Trump, Putin and Zelenskyi

Investors are still waiting for details on a possible trilateral meeting between US President Donald Trump, Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyi.
According to a media report, the US government is considering the Hungarian capital Budapest as a possible venue for a meeting.
At the beginning of the week, Trump and various EU representatives met at the White House to discuss the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

Central bankers' meeting in Jackson Hole starts on Thursday

When central bankers, politicians and business representatives from all over the world gather in Jackson Hole in the US state of Wyoming from Thursday, the attention of DAX investors is likely to turn to the USA. The annual central bank meeting will continue until Saturday. A speech by Jerome Powell expected on Friday (16:00) should be of particular interest.

Fed minutes could provide monetary policy impetus this evening 

From the perspective of the economic data calendar, the publication of the Fed minutes from the latest US Federal Reserve meeting (20:00) could provide a potential stimulus this evening. Investors are hoping that this will provide clues as to the future shape of US monetary policy.

It remains to be seen whether the US interest rate cut fantasies will remain alive after Powell's announced speech. According to the "Fed Watch Tool", there is currently an 82.9% chance that interest rates will be cut by a quarter of a percentage point at the upcoming September meeting. In contrast, there is a 17.1 percent probability that there could be a further pause in interest rates.

Purchasing managers on both sides of the Atlantic in focus on Thursday

On Thursday, there are also some purchasing managers on the agenda that need to be processed. In Germany, the index (HCOB) for the manufacturing, services and "total" sectors is scheduled for 09:30 and for the eurozone at 10:00. The counterparts for the USA (S&P Global) will follow at 15:45.

While the aforementioned Powell speech on Friday could decide the weal and woe, the first thing to watch in Germany this morning is the final data on German gross domestic product (GDP) (08:00).

Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden

Timo Emden holds a B.A. in Business Administration, is a market analyst and a certified blockchain expert from the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management. He has been following the global financial markets for over 14 years, with a focus on crypto assets. His assessments are based on chart technology and sentiment - he nevertheless considers important fundamental events to be significant. As a market expert, Mr. Emden is a valued contact for TV, press and radio.

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