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DAX weekly outlook: Reaches 22,000 points for the first time - trade dispute loses its scare - focus on US inflation

A busy trading floor with people working at computer stations and large electronic stock exchange boards displaying data overhead, including the latest figures for the DAX weekly outlook.

For the first time in its history, Germany's leading index has reached the 22,000 point mark. Investors are likely to focus their attention on fresh US inflation data this afternoon. The issue of the trade dispute will therefore take a back seat for the time being. The focus is likely to remain on the ongoing reporting season, which could continue to provide impetus.

DAX Chart

Source: TradingView

Trump announces new punitive tariffs on aluminum and steel imports

The trade dispute between the USA and other economic nations has visibly lost its edge. Over the weekend, Trump announced punitive tariffs on aluminum and steel imports, for example. In the previous week, the trade conflict between the USA and China in particular had already increasingly driven investors and kept risk appetite manageable. However, investors should always be prepared for the uncertainties caused by Donald Trump.

US inflation data cast a shadow ahead - Powell speech again in view

Investors around the globe are eagerly awaiting the publication of new US price data today (14:30). According to current estimates, the January rate could be 2.90% (compared to the previous month) and thus as high as in December. However, investors are likely to focus on the development of the so-called core rate, which excludes the drivers energy and food. This rate could weaken by 0.1 percentage points to 3.10 percent in the above-mentioned period, which should encourage general interest rate cut fantasies.

Another speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled for later in the day (16:00). Investors are expecting monetary policy hints in this context.

Powell had already testified before the congressional committee in Washington on Tuesday. It was said that it was not the central bank's job to comment on tariff policy. He also signaled that the Fed was in no hurry to lower interest rates further.

German inflation rates in focus on Thursday - attention likely to turn to EU GDP on Friday

On Thursday (08:00), investors should keep an eye on the final inflation rates for the Federal Republic of Germany. Compared to the same month last year, a rate of 2.3 percent is expected, after 2.6 percent in December.

US producer prices are likely to provide important inflation clues this afternoon (14:30).

However, the last trading day of the week will be dominated by the publication of the EU gross domestic product growth rate. A second estimate could result in zero growth (compared to the previous quarter), after 0.4% previously.

Retail sales for the United States (14:30) round off the trading week from the perspective of the economic calendar.

Siemens Energy presents figures - reporting season as a potential driver

The figures from Siemens Energy already made investors prick up their ears at the start of the day. The electronics group was able to shine with full order books and thus further boost its growth. In addition, the bottom line is positive for the new year, it said.

On Thursday, the focus will be on Siemens' preliminary figures for the past quarter.

Siemens Energy

 

Line chart showing the share prices of Siemens Energy AG from 2020 to 2025, with a notable growth in early 2025, reaching a price of 58.92. This automatically saved design captures the dynamic development of the company's market performance.

Source: TradingView

Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden

Timo Emden holds a B.A. in Business Administration, is a market analyst and a certified blockchain expert from the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management. He has been following the global financial markets for over 14 years, with a focus on crypto assets. His assessments are based on chart technology and sentiment - he nevertheless considers important fundamental events to be significant. As a market expert, Mr. Emden is a valued contact for TV, press and radio.

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