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Long call on gold - In the area of tension between Trump, the Fed and global crises

The so-called "Long Call" is considered one of the most basic strategies in options trading, which can be suitable for those investors who want to bet on rising prices of a certain underlying asset - be it a share, an index value or a commodity.

Below you will find everything you need to know about the long call and the opportunities and risks involved.

Introduction: What is a long call?

In the case of a "long call", the investor acquires a so-called call option, which gives him the right, but not the obligation, to purchase the underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) by a certain date. For this right, the buyer pays a premium to the seller (writer) of the option.

In theory, the long call offers Unlimited profit potentialwhile the maximum loss is limited to the option premium.

Gold (XAU/USD)

A line chart shows that the price of gold will rise steadily from 2016 to 2026 and reach USD 3,500 in 2025 - driven by the Fed and global crises. The TradingView logo can be seen at the bottom left.
Source: TradingView

30 percent since the beginning of the year - Gold benefits from geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of interest rate cuts

The price of gold has increased in value by over 30 percent since the beginning of the year.

In addition to political uncertainties and concerns about the independence of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), expectations of interest rate cuts are likely to have increased the appeal of the precious metal. If investors expect interest rate cuts, the price may rise as the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal would be reduced as gold does not earn interest.

Last but not least, a weaker US dollar makes gold more affordable for international buyers, especially as a weaker greenback also signals economic uncertainty.

US President Donald Trump announced the dismissal of Fed Governor Lisa Cook at the end of August 2025, exacerbating existing concerns about the Fed's independence. Trump accused Cook of "fraudulent and potentially criminal behavior" as well as a lack of competence and trustworthiness. The allegations relate to irregularities in mortgage applications.

Interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve possible in September

The CME Group's "Fed Watch Tool" currently estimates the chance of a rate cut of a quarter of a percentage point at 85.2 percent (as at 28.08.2025, 18:00). In contrast, there is a 14.8 percent probability of a pause in interest rates.

Conclusion: Long call on gold - opportunities and risks

In times of global uncertainty - from political power games under Donald Trump to geopolitical conflicts such as those in Ukraine or the Middle East - the demand for gold has risen.

A long call on the precious metal gold offers an opportunity to speculate on a rising price with a manageable capital investment. Instead of buying an asset, the buyer acquires a call option that gives him the right to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined price within a certain period of time.

The strategy may be suitable for those investors who wish to profit from macroeconomic developments such as interest rate cuts in the USA or political uncertainties without investing in physical gold or gold ETFs. Last but not least, the "long call" is one of the best-known entry strategies in the field of options.

However, in addition to a sound analysis and appropriate risk management, it is important, as always, to carefully weigh up the opportunities and risks and, in particular, not to lose sight of the loss potential.

Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden

Timo Emden holds a B.A. in Business Administration, is a market analyst and a certified blockchain expert from the Frankfurt School of Finance & Management. He has been following the global financial markets for over 14 years, with a focus on crypto assets. His assessments are based on chart technology and sentiment - he nevertheless considers important fundamental events to be significant. As a market expert, Mr. Emden is a valued contact for TV, press and radio.

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Taxes: The tax treatment of financial instruments depends on the personal circumstances of the respective investor and may be subject to future changes, which may also have a retroactive effect.

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