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US weekly outlook: Tariff dispute as a potential negative factor - US price data in focus

Following the Fed's interest rate decision the previous week, attention is likely to focus on price data and a number of speeches by Fed representatives in addition to the publication of important economic data for the United States. The smouldering trade conflict is likely to remain on investors' minds.
Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden
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24.03.2025, 07:50 Uhr
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Last updated on Aug 28, 2026, 1:43 PM

Following the Fed's interest rate decision the previous week, attention is likely to focus on price data and a number of speeches by Fed representatives in addition to the publication of important economic data for the United States. The smouldering trade conflict is likely to remain on investors' minds.

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Source: TradingView

Purchasing managers on both sides of the Atlantic in focus at the start of the week

From the perspective of the economic calendar, the first estimates for various purchasing managers will initially come into focus at the start of the week. The S&P Global index for manufacturing, services and total in the USA will be published at 14:45. The counterpart for the eurozone is expected at 10:30 am.

Some Fed representatives will have their say again and again in the current trading week - monetary policy stimulus conceivable

Following the Fed's latest meeting last Wednesday, speeches by various Fed representatives could continue to attract interest. Raphael Bostic (Atlanta/18:45) and Governor Michael Barr (20:10) are expected on Monday, John Williams (New York/13:05) on Tuesday and Neel Kashkari (Minneapolis/15:00) and Alberto Musaelm (St. Louis/15:10) on Wednesday. Investors should therefore always be prepared for monetary policy stimuli.

New orders for durable goods and GDP growth rate are likely to attract interest

New orders for durable goods will be in the spotlight on Wednesday (13:30). As this data is usually associated with higher spending, it is likely to provide an indication of the state of activity in the US economy.

The US gross domestic product growth rate on Thursday (13:30) should be of great importance. Economists expect a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.3%, compared to 3.1% previously.

PCE core deflator for personal consumption expenditures could provide important inflation signals on Friday

Friday, meanwhile, is likely to be dominated by the publication of the so-called PCE core deflator for personal consumption expenditure (13:30). Investors are looking for important inflation signals in this context.

In the last trading week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) repeatedly left the key interest rate unchanged at a range of 4.25 to 4.50 percent, but signaled two further interest rate cuts for the current year, each by a quarter of a percentage point.

Fed representatives Barr (17:15) and Bostic (20:30) will round off the trading week with speeches.

In the almost completed reporting season, GameStop (US36467W1099) reported on Tuesday.

GameStop

Source: TradingView

Legal notice

This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an investment recommendation within the meaning of Section 85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG). Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Timo Emden

Chief market analyst
CapTrader
Timo Emden has been analyzing international capital markets for over ten years and provides daily commentary on developments in the equity, bond, and commodity markets for CapTrader.
All posts by Timo Emden

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