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Week in review DAX and Wall Street: Hopes for a deal in the trade dispute - US inflation moves

Over the past few days, investors have once again focused on the tariff conflict between the US and the EU. The US inflation data was also eagerly awaited, as it may have provided clues for monetary policy. Meanwhile, market participants eagerly awaited the start of the US reporting season.
Timo Emden in a dark suit and tie poses in front of a plain gray background and looks neutrally into the camera.
Timo Emden
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20.07.2025, 13:51 Uhr
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Last updated on Aug 28, 2026, 1:43 PM

Over the past few days, investors have once again focused on the tariff conflict between the US and the EU. The US inflation data was also eagerly awaited, as it may have provided clues for monetary policy. Meanwhile, market participants eagerly awaited the start of the US reporting season.

DAX

Source: TradingView

Hopes for a last-minute deal in the tariff conflict between the USA and the EU

US President Donald Trump recently threatened the EU with punitive tariffs of 30 percent on imports into the USA from August 1. EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that the EU was prepared to work on an agreement by the aforementioned date. In this context, investors are likely to continue to believe in a last-minute deal.

China GDP grows more strongly than expected - despite trade dispute with the USA

From April to June, China's gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 5.2 percent compared to the previous year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday. Experts had previously expected an increase of 5.1 percent. In the first quarter of the year, GDP grew by 5.4 percent.
It remains to be seen to what extent the tariff conflict between the USA and China will have an impact.

ZEW index surprises - investors likely to bet on de-escalation in trade dispute

Investors' expectations of economic developments in the Federal Republic of Germany continued to improve in July. The ZEW Index of Economic Sentiment climbed to 52.7 points, up from 47.5 points in June. Economists had previously expected a rise to 50.4 points. Investors are likely to continue to bet on a de-escalation in the trade dispute.

US consumer prices higher than in May - core inflation lower than expected

At 2.7%, US consumer prices in June (year-on-year comparison) were significantly higher than in May (2.4%). US President Donald Trump spoke of "very low inflation" overall. At the same time, he once again put pressure on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to lower key interest rates.
Core inflation, which excludes the drivers energy and food, amounted to 2.90% in the same period, after 2.80% in May. Economists had expected a rate of 3.0%.

Meanwhile, US producer prices on Wednesday were 2.60 percent lower than expected (3.0 percent) compared to the same month last year, after 2.70 percent in May.

US retail sales weaken - consumer sentiment data (Uni Michigan) round off the trading week

Meanwhile, US retail sales rose by 0.60% compared to the previous month, significantly more than expected (0.10%). The same sector had fallen by 0.90 percent in the previous month.

The consumer sentiment data for the USA from the University of Michigan (16:00) will also be in focus this afternoon.

Goldman Sachs benefits from high fluctuations on the stock markets

The major US bank Goldman Sachs (ISIN: US38141G1040) was able to benefit from the high fluctuations on the stock markets in the past quarter. Trump's unpredictable tariff policy caused investors to reallocate their portfolios due to the associated swings.

Goldman Sachs' profits climbed by 22 percent in the second quarter. Income from equity trading increased by 36 percent to 4.3 billion US dollars.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

An image containing a diagram, text, series, screenshot, etc. AI-generated content may contain errors.

Source: TradingView

Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Line chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average from mid-2017 to mid-2025, with a general upward trend and an automatically saved draft marking the index at around 44,488 points in July 2025.

Source: TradingView

Legal notice

This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an investment recommendation within the meaning of Section 85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG). Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

Timo Emden

Chief market analyst
CapTrader
Timo Emden has been analyzing international capital markets for over ten years and provides daily commentary on developments in the equity, bond, and commodity markets for CapTrader.
All posts by Timo Emden

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